What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?
324
3kṀ100k2026
32%
OpenAI
29%
Google Deepmind
18%
Anthropic
10%
Meta
5%
Deepseek
4%
XAI
2022 would resolve as OpenAI, Deepmind, ???
**revised: OpenAI, Stability.AI, Deepmind
Based on social media buzz, search trends, etc. — i.e. purely on buzz/prestige
50/30/20 resolution to the most impactful in public opinion during the year
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
25% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2025?
Which countries will have a top 3 AI lab at EOY2027?
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
Will Anthropic be the best on AI safety among major AI labs at the end of 2025?
87% chance
[Carlini questions] Value of most valuable "AI Lab" in billion USD in 2030
10,102
WIll I work (at some point) at a top AI lab on safety in the next 5 years?
73% chance
Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
30% chance
In Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?
61% chance
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
93% chance