Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031? | Manifold Markets

Richard Hanania

closes Jan 1, 2031

Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?

66%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Jan 12, 11:39am: Data depends on the World Bank, using their numbers for both China and the upper middle-income average. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=XT

YES shares

75

75

28

16

14

13

13

13

7

NO shares

Richard Hanania

153

34

AccelerationBot

33

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

10

Michael Wheatley

8

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ3 NO at 66%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 NO at 67% (cancelled)

sam bought Ṁ50 YES from 61% to 71%

Isabel J bought Ṁ10 YES from 58% to 61%

Michael Wheatley filled limit order Ṁ31/Ṁ160 YES at 58% (cancelled)

Michael Wheatley bought Ṁ32 NO from 59% to 44%

Michael Wheatley filled limit order Ṁ0/Ṁ32 YES at 44% (cancelled)

Michael Wheatley filled limit order Ṁ32/Ṁ160 YES at 59% (cancelled)

Michael Wheatley bought Ṁ32 NO from 60% to 44%

Michael Wheatley created limit order for Ṁ32 YES at 44% (cancelled)

VelocityBot bought Ṁ0 NO at 60%

cos created limit order for Ṁ24 YES at 43%

cos created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 82%

cos created limit order for Ṁ48 YES at 28%

cos created limit order for Ṁ6 NO at 96%

Adam Sitte sold Ṁ29 YES from 70% to 60%

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 71% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 71% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 71% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 71% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 71% (cancelled)

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VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ4 NO at 99.0% (cancelled)

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