Will China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030? | Manifold

Will China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?

12

500Ṁ1355

2031

14%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to the exact same as the Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/chinausgdp/china-overtakes-us-gdp

If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF.

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