When will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Mini
9
1.4k
2070
2,052
expected

If China's GDP doesn't surpass US GDP before 2070, the market will resolve to 2070-2071.

Based on the World Bank data:

Here is a similar question in metaculus:

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

Nominal GDP right? What will you use to determine resolution, IMF? World Bank?

@TrippingYes, nominal GDP. Determined by the World Bank data, as the description said.

Add 500Ṁ subsidies to this market!

For real?

bought Ṁ0 2027-2028 YES

@Big0h It looks like you're trying to bet too much mana. This is the case if the market's subsidies are small.

More related questions