Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?
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2050
60%
chance
  • The World Bank will be used as the source to resolve this.

  • Automatically resolves if the US has a higher GDP than China in any year after 2023, if the Chinese economy becomes larger than the US one again, this still resolves YES.

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The question is sort of, YES if Chinese citizens will be below 1/4 the productivity of the average USA citizen (in purchase parity corrected US$).