Will BASIS (the Berkeley ai safety club) still exist in 2030?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ722030
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if BASIS (ok if name has changed) is still running at least one program at UC Berkeley in Fall 2030, with some organizing team, for which you can trace a lineage back to the club founders (I.e club founder recruited X person who led BASIS then recruited Y person who led BASIS, …, until the current organizers).
Berkeley AI safety club website can be found here: Berkeleyaisafety.com
For context, the club was established in 2022 I believe? And there are currently 10+ active organizers, 4 of which are Sophomores or below.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?
96% chance
Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?
82% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
48% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
75% chance
Will AI create philosophy before 2030?
86% chance
Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?
79% chance
Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
Will OpenAI change their name before 2030?
28% chance
Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2031?
26% chance