Will AI cause an accident in the next 6 months that leads to an international crisis?

Basic

19

Ṁ4055

resolved Apr 22

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#️ AI Alignment

Get

1,000

and

3.00

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ92
2		Ṁ31
3		Ṁ17
4		Ṁ10
5		Ṁ7

Sort by:

Define "accident"

predictedNO

You may not want this market to close on 01-01-2024.

@GGtr That’s a good note - 05-20-24 : 6mo

Related questions

Will AI cause an incident resulting in $1b of losses or 100 lost lives?

Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?

Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?

What AI safety incidents will occur in 2025?

Will AI be directly responsible for causing an accident that results in 500 deaths by 2028?

Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will AI Cause a Deadly Catastrophe?

Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

Related questions

Will AI cause an incident resulting in $1b of losses or 100 lost lives?

Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)

Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?

Will AI Cause a Deadly Catastrophe?

What AI safety incidents will occur in 2025?

Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?

Will AI be directly responsible for causing an accident that results in 500 deaths by 2028?

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules