First region where US initiates military operations by July 2025
5
100Ṁ51Jul 20
5%
South China Sea
5%
Taiwan Strait
60%
Middle East
5%
Eastern Europe
5%
Korean Peninsula
20%
Based on current global tensions, which region will see the first US-initiated military operations? Resolution criteria: Official Pentagon announcements or verified media reports of US forces initiating combat operations. Source: https://www.defense.gov/News/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
7% chance
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029
9% chance
European nations will commit to fielding at least 200,000 troops to replace US forces by June 2025
33% chance
Which countries will the United States be at war with by the end of 2025?
Will all US troops be out of Syria by July 31, 2025?
15% chance
Will the US conduct military operations in Mexico by EOY 2025?
52% chance
Israel and Egypt engage in direct military conflict before July 1st 2025
6% chance
Will US troops be deployed in combat operations in an overseas conflict before end of 2030
53% chance
Will the US conduct any military actions inside of Mexico before the end of 2025?
90% chance