What I'm expecting: "There's obviously voter fraud in Pennsylvania, we had Xmillion people sign the petition and only Xmillion votes!!"
If Trump [or someone else] makes the claim and Elon uncritically shares it on X, that will also suffice. If he mentions voter fraud, i.e. "Trump claims there is voter fraud in Pennsylvania", that is insufficient. Someone needs to cite the super PAC numbers vs voter numbers.
If Elon reposts a list of 50 fraud claims and this is one of them, it may not count. The key spirit of the market here is: It needs to be clear that Elon read this exact claim and is uncritically amplifying it, or explicitly endorsing it.
Not conditional on Trump winning/losing the state.
I have been asked not to trade, so I won't!
1,000
1.00@Nightsquared Yes, if it is shared uncritically. I will say though, if in some case someone posted a list of 50 examples of fraud and one of them was this, that wouldn't count. (does that make sense?)
It needs to be clear that he read this exact claim and is uncritically amplifying it, or explicitly endorsing it.
I expect him to make the claim himself lol, no doubt there will be a huge discrepancy when you are paying ridiculous amounts for people to sign on. I'm curious if anyone is in the process of surveying residents and seeing their perceptions of the petition (e.g. is it binding, does it mean anything, etc.).. it should be illegal.