Does America Know Who Started the Russia-Ukraine war?
4
100Ṁ115
Nov 10
43%
chance

Resolution Criteria:

This market resolves YES if verifiable, publicly available evidence shows the event occurred exactly as phrased by the closing date.

It resolves NO if:

• There is no direct evidence that the event occurred,

• Or credible sources / primary documents contradict the claim,

• Or the event is proven fabricated, retracted, or demonstrably false.

Evidence standard:

Any of the following count as sufficient:

• A dated primary source (press release, official document, public dataset, or on-record statement by an involved organization).

• A reputable third-party confirmation (screenshot, document archive, independent investigation).

• Proof that linked evidence in support of the claim was falsified or retracted also qualifies for NO.

All posted evidence must be publicly viewable (direct links only; no paywalled or anonymous claims).

I do plan to vote in this market. Any objections or doubts as to how I judge or vote can be disputed but as a preliminary it should be known straightforwardly


https://x.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/1896618136293744884

https://www.clintonfoundationtimeline.com/february-25-2014-senator-chris-murphy-brags-about-his-part-in-the-u-s-successfully-overthrowing-ukraines-government/

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What is this market even about?

Lol, you changed the market's name from "Did America Start The Russia-Ukraine war?" to "Does America Know Who Started the Russia-Ukraine war?", nt

@YesButNoButYesButNo based on evidence, the first question wasnt a proper vote. that was my fault, first time

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