Will Nate Silver's new book make a detailed reference to Manifold?

#Manifold #Books #Nate Silver

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A reference to any specific market, any explanation of how Manifold works, or similar would resolve YES but Manifold's name just appearing in a list of prediction market sites or a description of a hypothetical play-money prediction market would resolve NO.

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Meh, Manifold may not even exist by the time the book comes out.

@Eliza The book is coming out in August! You think Manifold will collapse in the next 6 months?

@GavrielK I just mean, the site has not been up for an incredibly long period of time and may not be around forever, so using it for a direct example feels a little less likely. There are other platforms that could be used for an example.

I think a reference is fairly likely but an explanation less so.