Will China experience a military coup before 2028?
Plus
20
Ṁ11992027
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Recently, Xi Jinping has received significantly less spotlight while specific characters from the military are shifting in public representation (e.g. Vice Chair of the Military Commission).
This resolves to YES if Xi Jinping is not in power by 2028 AND anyone from the current Military Commission or the PLA leadership take the positions of president, premier, OR chairman by December 2027. NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
42% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
33% chance
Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
70% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
60% chance
Will China become more authoritarian in 2024?
66% chance
Will China launch a war on the US by 2028?
19% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2028?
29% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
26% chance
Will China go to war in 2024?
6% chance
Will Xi Jinping leave China in 2028?
66% chance