Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
185
Ṁ56k
2026
46%
chance

Will it be possible for a non Tesla employee to ride in a fully autonomous Tesla vehicle anywhere in the world by the end of 2025?

Has to be a service that non Tesla employees can use. Has to be a point to point ride of at least 1 mile. Has to be on public roads in a city.

Boring company tunnels don’t count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Do vehicles following a predetermined route, like a bus, count? Or does it have to be taxi-like, with the customer determining the destination?

Hmm. Based on the description I think a predetermined bus route would count as yes

@GabeGarboden based on the title I think a predetermined bus route clearly doesn't qualify, unless you've got some definition of "taxi" I've never heard

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 30% order

Does the service have to be offered by Tesla?

@DavidFWatson A third party fleet operator would work as long as it’s using teslas software to route rides, similar to Uber

anywhere in the world by the end of 2025

This means, in at least one location on Earth, right? Not that Tesla offers this from some tiny island

@mattyb Updated description to clarify it has to be on public roads in a city

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules