Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?
45
1kṀ73512029
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the Trump or Vance bans transgender people from buying guns before 2029.
This could happen by signing a bill, or an ATF directive.
Ban must target trans or lgbt people. A ban on everyone purchasing guns would not qualify.
A ban that is preemptively struck down by the courts would still resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?
15% chance
If Trump becomes president will his administration regulate or ban AR-15 style rifles?
13% chance
Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term?
35% chance
Will Trump call for further regulation or banning of AR-15 style rifles by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Trump incarcerate or institutionalize trans people just for being trans?
49% chance
Will Trump ban or significantly limit Prozac?
13% chance
Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill?
55% chance
Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
27% chance
Will Trump restrict porn?
15% chance
Will Donald Trump enforce the ban on TikTok during his presidency?
11% chance