Will the White House Press Secretary giggle when asked about AI extinction risks before 2025?
22
27
450
2025
37%
chance

This market is about the reaction of the White House Press Secretary when asked about AI extinction risks. The question is whether the Press Secretary will giggle during a press conference when asked about these risks before the end of 2024.

Example questions that can be made during the press conference include:

1. "Is the White House preparing for a potential AI apocalypse?"

2. "Does the White House believe that AI could wipe out humanity?"

3. "Is the White House concerned that AI might kill us all?"

Resolution Criteria:

The market will resolve to 'Yes' if there is credible video evidence or multiple reliable reports from news outlets indicating that the Press Secretary giggled when asked about AI extinction risks in a press conference before 2025. The market will resolve to 'No' otherwise.

This question includes any type of dismissive laughter or response, not just giggles specifically. Examples that would count are chuckles, snickers, scoffs, sarcastic belly laughs, patronizing cackles, clicking one's tongue disapprovingly, and even eye rolls.

The key element is using laughter, vocal sounds, or facial expressions to communicate dismissal, sarcasm, contempt, irony, or disbelief rather than sincerely finding something funny. So an exaggerated eye roll in response to something seen as absurd or worthy of ridicule would count as a dismissive response.

Other examples include:

  • A chuckle followed by a sarcastic retort

  • A snicker expressing contempt

  • A scoff showing scorn

  • Clicking one's tongue in disbelief

  • An eye roll after hearing something seen as ridiculous

The tone and context convey the dismissiveness, rather than just the specific type of laugh or response. In summary, any type of dismissive laughter, vocal utterance, or facial expression like eye rolls would apply as examples of dismissive responses.

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bought Ṁ50 of YES

didn't this already happen? https://twitter.com/therecount/status/1641526864626720774

or is this question about it happening again?

Edit: I think this video satisfies the question as written, and thus should resolve YES.

bought Ṁ55 of NO

@adele this was before market creation. Title says "Will..."

To double-check, this is about specifically a giggle? Things like chuckles, eye rolls, etc. don't count?

@evergreenemily yes count, i added this to the description:
This question includes any type of dismissive laughter or response, not just giggles specifically. Examples that would count are chuckles, snickers, scoffs, sarcastic belly laughs, patronizing cackles, clicking one's tongue disapprovingly, and even eye rolls.

The key element is using laughter, vocal sounds, or facial expressions to communicate dismissal, sarcasm, contempt, irony, or disbelief rather than sincerely finding something funny. So an exaggerated eye roll in response to something seen as absurd or worthy of ridicule would count as a dismissive response.

Other examples include:

  • A chuckle followed by a sarcastic retort

  • A snicker expressing contempt

  • A scoff showing scorn

  • Clicking one's tongue in disbelief

  • An eye roll after hearing something seen as ridiculous

The tone and context convey the dismissiveness, rather than just the specific type of laugh or response. In summary, any type of dismissive laughter, vocal utterance, or facial expression like eye rolls would apply as examples of dismissive responses.

@FranklinBaldo does nervous laughter also count?