The “Dead Internet Theory” posits that a significant portion of online content is now generated by bots and AI, leading to diminished genuine human interaction. This prediction market seeks to determine which major social media platforms — such as X (formerly Twitter), Facebook, Instagram, or Reddit — will introduce substantial proof-of-humanity measures before 2026 to counteract this trend.¹
Examples of such measures include:
Identity Verification: Implementing processes that require users to verify their identity through official documents or biometric data. For instance, LinkedIn has employed identity verification to enhance user authenticity.²
Biometric Proof-of-Humanity (World ID): World ID is a cutting-edge approach that uses biometric data, specifically iris scans, to create a unique and verifiable digital identity. The goal is to enable users to prove their humanity without revealing personal information, thereby offering both privacy and proof of identity.³
The objective is to assess whether these platforms will adopt measures aimed at distinguishing human users from bots, thereby fostering a more authentic and trustworthy online environment. Discussions surrounding the “Dead Internet Theory” and the impact of bots on user experience provide context to the significance of this prediction market.
Sources:
Update 2024-18-12 (PST): Facebook's existing ID verification system (as documented at facebook.com/help/314201258613998) qualifies as a proof-of-humanity measure, and therefore Facebook has already met the criteria. The market will be resolved as YES for Facebook. (AI summary of creator comment)
1,000@EmilyConn https://m.facebook.com/help/314201258613998/?helpref=uf_share
Thank you. Resolving as YES