The “Dead Internet Theory” posits that a significant portion of online content is now generated by bots and AI, leading to diminished genuine human interaction. This prediction market seeks to determine which major social media platforms — such as X (formerly Twitter), Facebook, Instagram, or Reddit — will introduce substantial proof-of-humanity measures before 2026 to counteract this trend.¹

Examples of such measures include:

• Identity Verification: Implementing processes that require users to verify their identity through official documents or biometric data. For instance, LinkedIn has employed identity verification to enhance user authenticity.²

• Biometric Proof-of-Humanity (World ID): World ID is a cutting-edge approach that uses biometric data, specifically iris scans, to create a unique and verifiable digital identity. The goal is to enable users to prove their humanity without revealing personal information, thereby offering both privacy and proof of identity.³

The objective is to assess whether these platforms will adopt measures aimed at distinguishing human users from bots, thereby fostering a more authentic and trustworthy online environment. Discussions surrounding the “Dead Internet Theory” and the impact of bots on user experience provide context to the significance of this prediction market.

Sources:

1. Dead Internet Theory - Wikipedia

2. LinkedIn introduces identity verification system - The Verge

3. World ID and Biometric Proof of Humanity - Biometric Update

• Update 2024-18-12 (PST): Facebook's existing ID verification system (as documented at facebook.com/help/314201258613998) qualifies as a proof-of-humanity measure, and therefore Facebook has already met the criteria. The market will be resolved as YES for Facebook. (AI summary of creator comment)