Which company will create AGI first? | Manifold

Which company will create AGI first?

63

1.9kṀ3979

2036

25%

Anthropic

24%

OpenAI

20%

DeepMind

12%

US Government

6%

Communist Party of China

6%

people not employed by a company

4%

Other

1.9%

Safe Superintelligence (SSI)

1.5%

DeepSeek

If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A

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When will the first AGI company get nationalized?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

By when will we have AGI?

When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

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Huffing the copium

Surely this goes up with the recent news

OpenAI makes great products and great infrastructure but let’s be honest they haven’t invented a single thing.

@Gigacasting lol

@Gigacasting But they were the ones to capitalize on the things that others invented.

@Adam I will not resolve to that. If a not listed company creates it first, it will resolve N/A

@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?

@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P

Which company will create AGI first?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2027?

+3% 1d17% chance

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will AI create the first AGI?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Will China get AGI first?

Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

When will the first AGI company get nationalized?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

By when will we have AGI?

When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will AI create the first AGI?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Will China get AGI first?

Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

When will the first AGI company get nationalized?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

By when will we have AGI?

When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

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