Will more than 500$ of Mana be sold on day X in March?
14
230
4.4K
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
NO
March 1
Resolved
NO
March 2
Resolved
NO
March 3
Resolved
NO
March 4
Resolved
NO
March 5
Resolved
NO
March 6
Resolved
NO
March 7
Resolved
NO
March 8
Resolved
NO
March 9
Resolved
NO
March 10
Resolved
YES
March 11
Resolved
NO
March 12
Resolved
NO
March 13
Resolved
NO
March 14
Resolved
NO
March 15
Resolved
NO
March 16
Resolved
YES
March 17
Resolved
YES
March 18
Resolved
NO
March 19
Resolved
NO
March 20

Will more than 500$ of Mana be bought on any particular day?

Resolves according to: https://manifold.markets/stats

Beware: People can cause this to resolve yes by buying Mana. If they do, hey extra revenue for Manifold.

As this is an objective market, I may bet in it.

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March 17
opened a Ṁ1 March 17 NO at 97% order

Today is a tricky one

bought Ṁ10,000 March 16 NO

@Lion Looks simple from the discord, but something can always go wrong

sold Ṁ197 March 17 YES

@Fedor It's the Agency drama, so idk, could be cancelled. I bought it up to 95% and am happy to sell some shares at 99%. [But I don't understand the whole situation and read like 1% of the Discord chats about it, so if anyone knows more, use your reasearch and insider knowledge]

bought Ṁ10,000 March 17 YES

@Lion Chart says 2235, so that's what I'm resolving accordingly to.

@Fedor I saw that, that's why I bet it up. There still was a chance that those buys would have been cancelled.

March 6

@Fedor This can resolve “No”

bought Ṁ1,000 March 4 NO

Shouldn't this market be called "Will more than 500$ of Mana be sold on day X in March"?

@SaviorofPlant Those seem identical to me? Whether manifold sells it, or whether manifolders buy it.

@Fedor It says Feb, not March lol

@SaviorofPlant I would never make such a mistake and you can't point to the edit history for that.

@Fedor You're right, it has always been correct. Sorry for wasting your time

bought Ṁ10 March 31 NO

Have fun with the trader bonuses 🤣

@Lion Thanks, will see if I break even on incentivising mana purchases