I hadn't seen yall's comments, my bad. Closed the market for now to consider the possibilities.

@Bayesian I think N/A is best. I should have made the criterion more precise, sorry.
It can "indirectly" be converted to real money, and it's as yet unclear whether it'll be direct enough that the vibe points toward it being convertible or not convertible, but in any case that's not a very interesting vibe to be deciding on and I hope nobody objects too strongly to this outcome.

@Bayesian oh, "Negative payouts too large for resolution.", shucks lol

@Bayesian whoa

So is this a coin flip to be determined by the vibes of the pivot when launched?

@Bayesian does betting on an event (which has already happened and you know how the market will resolve) count as converting mana to prize points?

Does this count? (It’s through another currency)

Suppose mana can be converted in currency X (via profits in a market/creator bonus), and currency X can be used to buy gift cards, how would this market resolve?

yeah i think not too, lion

eliza made it sound like he thought so, i am confused, that seems like a lot of mana for it to be converting to money

@Bayesian it's illegal. as easy as that [and Manifold is really far off]

but there is a 1k limit order on 15%, would make it 20k if someone really thinks that it will happen