Russian vehicle shot down in NATO airspace by EOY 2025?
6
1kṀ1215
Dec 31
37%
chance

Will any Russian aerial vehicle be shot down within NATO airspace this year?

Includes crewed aircraft ( /EvanDaniel/russian-crewed-aircraft-shot-down-i ), drones, missiles, helicopters, artillery shells, balloons, or anything else aerial.

Establishing proof of the airspace violation might be hard. Outcome will be based on a consensus of credible reporting combined with NATO statements, provided they appear to be basically plausible. (The 2015 Turkey incident would count under this rule, as would the 2025 Poland one.) Local time zone. After question creation.

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bought Ṁ400 YES

Putin will keep pushing and probing unless there are serious consequences which there won't be because Western Europe is too chicken shit.

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