Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
5
Ṁ1kṀ530Nov 3
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 0% at <= 45 seats, 100% at >= 55 seats, linear in between. (10% per seat above 45.) Counting independents based on who they intend to caucus with.
House version: /EvanDaniel/democratic-house-seats-after-2026-2
Full range: /Ziddletwix/gop-share-of-senate-seats-after-202
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
60% chance
GOP share of senate seats after 2026 midterms? (Resolves to %)
48% chance
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
15% chance
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
41% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
63% chance
How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
30% chance
Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?