How many people will die of extreme heat in Arizona in 2033?
10
20kṀ22k2034
75%
>= 300
63%
>= 500
51%
>= 800
39%
>= 1300
21%
>= 2100
11%
>= 3400
8%
>= 5500
5%
>= 8900
This is an attempt to gauge whether Arizona will become uninhabitable due to climate change within the next decade, as predicted by this tweet:
Resolution will be based on my best estimate from credible reporting, Wikipedia articles, etc. If multiple credible sources are available, I'll resolve based on the geometric mean of available numbers.
I'll add more answers if trading prices indicate that's appropriate. Ditto creating more comparable questions for different dates.
See also:
/EvanDaniel/how-many-people-will-die-of-extreme-nunsfre4wz
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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