How many people will die of extreme heat in Arizona in 2026?

Plus

11

Ṁ26422027

1D

1W

1M

ALL

67%

>= 100

56%

>= 200

53%

>= 300

49%

>= 500

48%

>= 800

30%

>= 1300

18%

>= 2100

This is an attempt to gauge whether Arizona will become uninhabitable due to climate change within the next decade, as predicted by this tweet:

Resolution will be based on my best estimate from credible reporting, Wikipedia articles, etc. If multiple credible sources are available, I'll resolve based on the geometric mean of available numbers.

I'll add more answers if trading prices indicate that's appropriate. Ditto creating more comparable questions for different dates.

Get

1,000

and1.00

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