Will the S&P 500 increase in at least 3 of the 4 quarters of 2026? | Manifold

Will the S&P 500 increase in at least 3 of the 4 quarters of 2026?

6

1kṀ314

Dec 31

63%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

We measure S&P changes from the interval's first day's prior day closing price to the last day's closing price.

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S&P 500 Changes

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