Will I think the Chinese biolab was geopolitically significant in mid 2024 (20% belief now)?
2
70Ṁ63
resolved Jul 1
Resolved
NO

https://twitter.com/Dominic2306/status/1726684707495301470

Lots of claims floating around Twitter. It seems... Like something (?) happened? But will we ever know?

I'll wait til claim end then update on the news and see what I think.

I'm currently at these values:

  • Should we investigate this issue more : 90%

  • Do I think it was an event of international geopolitical interest: 20%

  • What is my main explanation for this issue now: an individual PRC citizen who is very motivated, with a history of action, failure, and mental illness, had a lab where he was semi schizophrenically doing things; this was found and lots of hype and obscured reporting occurred.

This resolves to my belief at that point in time. I won't bet.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ30
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy