
Any level, city state or national, for at least 100 Canadians resident in the US
By mid 2029
They must have actually voted and had it count
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@MartinRandall I read the comments and market criteria but it does not seem like a 100% slam dunk based on what I am seeing. Ernie is still an active user on the site and I don't feel confident enough to resolve his question in this case. It seems like he has a specific idea of what he is looking for and I am cautious in case I have somehow misinterpreted the instructions.
@Ernie One last chance here to weigh in before moderators might step in here. If you check out some of these comments, you will see the evidence everyone has brought. If it's not enough for you to resolve Yes, you may need to explain why.
@Eliza thanks.
reason 1: dual citizenship. This is a vacuous YES that doesn't provide any info, and doesn't count for me.
reason 2: the linked list of municipalities. In particular the fairly large cities which immediately legalized it, in Vermont. Combined with the others, that's way over say 100k population. Among them assuming 100 noncitizens is fine.
so, YES. Thanks for the ping
If you discover that it is (or becomes) allowed, will you immediately resolve the market? Or will you wait until 2029 to resolve?
If it switched from allowed to not-allowed before the close date (e.g. you read an article in 2024 explaining that it is allowed in one small jurisdiction, and then in 2029 hat jurisdiction repeals it), would you resolve it as "NO" due to the final tate of the question, or "YES" based on the fact it was allowed at one point?
Yeah, this is already legal.
"The District of Columbia and municipalities in three states allowed noncitizens to vote in local elections as of June 2023: California, Maryland, and Vermont."
https://ballotpedia.org/Laws_permitting_noncitizens_to_vote_in_the_United_States
@Ernie can you please advise whether you consider this to sufficiently meet the conditions of your question?
@jbca from what I've heard many regions in Europe allow non citizen residents to vote in local elections
@Ernie Oh, cool, I forgot about that
According to https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2023/12/14/city-council-approves-measure-that-would-let-immigrants-with-legal-status-vote-in-boston-elections/?amp=1 this is already the case for some major municipal elections: “At least 15 municipalities across America have given municipal voting rights to non-citizens, according to the sponsors. This includes San Francisco, New York City, and communities in Maryland and Vermont.”, so maybe this is already true