Related.

Why does this close in June? @Ernie

Ding is broken.

How does this resolve if he drops out?

@FergusArgyll It will resolve to whomever is the 2024 world chess champion. There are other ppl listed in this market than Gukesh and Ding, so if he is replaced, it could resolve to someone else. If it just counts as a forfeit, assumably Gukesh will be crowned champion.

@benshindel ahhh so that's the 4% for Hikaru!

I don't make markets but might be worth making a "Will ding compete/play in 2024 championship"

@FergusArgyll that market exists: https://manifold.markets/AkameAkiyama/will-ding-liren-defend-his-world-ch?r=YmVuc2hpbmRlbA