Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
6
56
900
2027
9%
Gukesh D
8%
Fabiano Caruana
8%
Arjun Erigaisi
7%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
6%
Other
5%
Magnus Carlsen
4%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
4%
Hikaru Nakamura
2%
Daniil Dubov
2%
Wang Hao
2%
Vladislav Artemiev
2%
Alexey Sarana
2%
M. Amin Tabatabaei
2%
N/A (e.g. tournament cancelled)
1.7%
Wesley So
1.7%
Wei Yi
1.7%
Viswanathan Anand
1.7%
Sergey Karjakin
1.7%
Leinier Dominguez Perez
1.7%
Praggnanandhaa R

This market refers to this event:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament

An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament. I will select the N/A option if the tournament is canceled or is paused without a plan to resume it.

I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.

Get Ṁ600 play money