Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
18
1.4kṀ28512027
15%
Fabiano Caruana
14%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
8%
Alireza Firouzja
8%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
7%
Hikaru Nakamura
6%
Praggnanandhaa R
6%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Magnus Carlsen
3%
Gukesh D
2%
Wei Yi
1.9%
Other
1.8%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
1.8%
Vidit Santosh Gujrathi
1.8%
Ding Liren
1.1%
Daniil Dubov
1.1%
Wang Hao
1%
Anish Giri
This market refers to this event:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament
An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.
I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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