Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
Mini
8
167
2027
9%
Arjun Erigaisi
9%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
7%
Gukesh D
7%
Fabiano Caruana
6%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
6%
Hikaru Nakamura
5%
Other
4%
Magnus Carlsen
3%
Wei Yi
2%
Daniil Dubov
2%
Wang Hao
1.8%
Vincent Keymer
1.8%
Ding Liren
1.8%
Vladislav Artemiev
1.8%
Alexey Sarana
1.8%
M. Amin Tabatabaei
1.8%
N/A (e.g. tournament cancelled)
1.5%
Wesley So
1.5%
Viswanathan Anand
1.5%
Sergey Karjakin

This market refers to this event:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament

An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.

I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.

Get Ṁ600 play money