Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
19
1.4kṀ2861
2027
14%
Fabiano Caruana
13%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
12%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
8%
Alireza Firouzja
6%
Hikaru Nakamura
6%
Praggnanandhaa R
6%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Magnus Carlsen
2%
Gukesh D
2%
Wei Yi
1.8%
Other
1.8%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
1.8%
Vidit Santosh Gujrathi
1.7%
Ding Liren
1%
Daniil Dubov
1%
Wang Hao

This market refers to this event:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament

An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.

I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.

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