Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
34
1.4kṀ5395
2027
22%
Fabiano Caruana
20%
Praggnanandhaa R
18%
Hikaru Nakamura
8%
Anish Giri
5%
Other
4%
Alireza Firouzja
3%
Arjun Erigaisi
3%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
2%
Magnus Carlsen
1.5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
1.4%
Vincent Keymer
1.4%
Gukesh D

This market refers to this event:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament

An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.

I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.

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