USA will advise all American citizens to leave Taiwan anytime through 2032
3
18
Ṁ201Ṁ90
2033
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The advice also has to be in place for at least two weeks
IE temporary physical emergencies if short duration won't count
Not necessarily from any China-related issue
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
At least 50% of US citizens have been evacuated from Taiwan within a six month period before 2037
33% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
32% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
27% chance
What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2030?
34% chance
Will China impose a travel ban on Americans to Shenzhen for any period lasting more than 2 months before 2030?
35% chance
USA expels at least five Chinese diplomats within 7 days anytime through 2031
33% chance
Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?
35% chance
At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
31% chance
Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
29% chance