USA will advise all American citizens to leave Taiwan anytime through 2032
Basic
3
Ṁ2012033
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The advice also has to be in place for at least two weeks
IE temporary physical emergencies if short duration won't count
Not necessarily from any China-related issue
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
At least 50% of US citizens have been evacuated from Taiwan within a six month period before 2037
37% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
32% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
34% chance
If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
72% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
41% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
45% chance
Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?
33% chance
Will the US station 500 soldiers in Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
Will the US station 100 soldiers in Taiwan before 2030?
68% chance
No regular public passenger flights from the US to Taiwan for a month, before 2039
30% chance