USA will advise all American citizens to leave Taiwan anytime through 2032
3
90Ṁ2012033
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The advice also has to be in place for at least two weeks
IE temporary physical emergencies if short duration won't count
Not necessarily from any China-related issue
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before June 2025?
6% chance
At least 50% of US citizens have been evacuated from Taiwan within a six month period before 2037
38% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before Dec 2027?
30% chance
No regular public passenger flights from the US to Taiwan for a month, before 2039
30% chance
No regular public passenger flights from the US to Taiwan for a month, before 2039
21% chance
Taiwan/ROC government in exile supported by US any time through 2033
29% chance
Will the US station 100 soldiers in Taiwan before 2030?
68% chance
Will the US station 500 soldiers in Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
31% chance
If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
64% chance