At least 50% of US citizens have been evacuated from Taiwan within a six month period before 2037
16
64
Ṁ560Ṁ310
2037
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
During any continuous six month period start to finish. Judged by mainstream US media reports.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
32% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
27% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
41% chance
USA will advise all American citizens to leave Taiwan anytime through 2032
35% chance
At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
31% chance
Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?
32% chance
Will an island nation recognized by the UN evacuate >=50% of its people due to rising sea levels before Jan 1st 2040?
58% chance
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2030?
34% chance