At least 50% of US citizens have been evacuated from Taiwan within a six month period before 2037
20
1kṀ7102037
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
During any continuous six month period start to finish. Judged by mainstream US media reports.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
China blockades Taiwan in 2025? (media reports)
9% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
33% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
28% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025
9% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
46% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before June 2025?
3% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
39% chance
Contingent on Greenland invasion by USA, China invades Taiwan within 1 year?
54% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before Dec 2027?
33% chance