At least 50% of US citizens have been evacuated from Taiwan within a six month period before 2037
20
1kṀ7102037
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
During any continuous six month period start to finish. Judged by mainstream US media reports.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before June 2025?
4% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before Dec 2027?
33% chance
USA will advise all American citizens to leave Taiwan anytime through 2032
48% chance
At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
31% chance
At least 2m Taiwanese citizens are physically relocated to the mainland by the PRC through 2033
14% chance
Will the US station 100 soldiers in Taiwan before 2030?
68% chance
Will the US station 500 soldiers in Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
No regular public passenger flights from the US to Taiwan for a month, before 2039
30% chance
No regular public passenger flights from the US to Taiwan for a month, before 2039
21% chance
What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?