Tesla SAE level 3 car is available in the US before the EU
7
150Ṁ1392030
82%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It doesn't need to be available everywhere - highway only is enough. For sub-regions, it must be available in either an entire country of the EU, or an entire state in the case of the US. i.e. availability in California before any EU country is a yes; available in Poland before any US state is an immediate no. In each region it must be approved by regulators.
If it comes out on the same day in both, it's a no.
If it never comes out, this resolves no. Deadline will be extended if necessary.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Tesla SAE level 3 car is available in the US before China
75% chance
Tesla SAE level 3 car is available in the US before Canada
75% chance
Which car manufacturer will sell a SAE level 3 feature next after BMW?
Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?
48% chance
Tesla rolls out SAE3+ driving mode only for a model's Hardware 4+ cars by end of 2026
27% chance
I can buy a level 4 self-driving car in the U.S or Europe
I can buy a level 5 self-driving car in the U.S or Europe
Top car company licenses Tesla autopilot by mid 2026 for US markets
16% chance
Top car company licenses Tesla autopilot by mid 2027 for US markets
37% chance
When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?
10/2/26