When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?
2
1kṀ1474
2026
October 2, 2026
17%
Before Mar 2026
29%
Before May 2026
31%
Before July 2026
42%
Before Sep 2026
50%
Before Nov 2026
55%
Before Jan 2027
46%
After 2027-01-01

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES if FSD (Supervised) is generally available to EU customers in a majority of EU member states (≥14/27), via Tesla’s normal purchase/subscription flow, with a substantially similar feature set to the contemporaneous U.S. “FSD (Supervised)” release.

“Generally available” excludes employee-only access, invitation-only programs, or small pilots limited to a city/region or a tiny capped fleet.

The market resolves NO otherwise (including if only “Enhanced Autopilot”-style features are available).

Primary source for resolution: Tesla release notes / official Tesla communications for EU rollout, supplemented by reputable reporting if needed.

Feel free to comment for improving the criteria.

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