MANIFOLD
2026 Democratic nominee for US Senate in Maine?
107
Ṁ1kṀ230k
Nov 3
87%
Graham Platner
12%
Janet Mills

Susan Collins (R-ME) is up for reelection in 2026. Which Democrat will face her?

(Feel free to suggest additions, though I'll only add people who I subjectively think have a >2% chance of winning.)

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opened a Ṁ7,000 YES at 80% order

That’s it. Platners done. He can’t come back from this

@Jack1 https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-graham-platner-drop-below-70-c?r=SmFjazE

Trade on his if his price goes below 70% in this market

bought Ṁ70 NO

@traders lets break jacks buy wall

bought Ṁ250 YES

@XCorporation im also willing to buy it up if you wanna toss more no

@copiumarc ill do it

opened a Ṁ6,000 YES at 77% order

@XCorporation ok put up a few

bought Ṁ25,000 YES

Race is over

Trade on the upcoming Maine poll:

Elizabeth warren has endorsed platner

Senator Ruben Gallego has endorsed Graham Platner

Platner up to 79% on kalshi

It's basically over

January ActBlue Numbers Donations from people in Maine

Platner: 6,213

Mills: 1,534

Lest anyone say all of Platner's support is out-of-state, he CRUSHES Mills with Maine donors.

bought Ṁ5,000 YES

Graham Platner will be a great senator. He’s past his scandals. He’s turning out great crowds. Great fundraising.

bought Ṁ100 YES

actually we are so back again platnerbros

@256 Jay Jones Won Why can’t Platner

@JackP exactly

@256 Interesting that they would release this. It makes me think that they prefer Platner (i.e. think it's more likely that Collins will beat Platner than that she'll beat Mills)? But I don't know.

@EricNeyman Between Collins and Mills: nearly 150 years of age? The only plus is Mills verbally spars with Trump and they hate each other. In "many ways" Mills is awful - but vs. Trump? Janet Mills. Come on down

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