Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the official Democratic nominee for the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine is a man.

The market resolves to NO if the official Democratic nominee is a woman, non-binary, another gender, or if the party fails to select a nominee and leaves the general election ballot slot vacant.

Key details & Verification:

• Resolution will be based on the candidate officially designated as the Democratic nominee for the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate election.

• Verification will be conducted via the official list of general election candidates published by the Maine Secretary of State's Office. Standard news outlets or updated records on Ballotpedia's 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election page will serve as secondary verification sources.

• If the selected nominee drops out or is replaced again prior to the printing of ballots, the market will resolve based on the final Democratic nominee who officially appears on the general election ballot in November 2026.

Background

In June 2026, progressive candidate Graham Platner won the Democratic primary to face five-term Republican incumbent Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election. However, on July 8, 2026, Platner suspended his campaign and withdrew following allegations of sexual assault.

The Maine Democratic Party has until July 27, 2026, to officially select a replacement nominee. Potential contenders rumored or declared for the nomination include both men and women, such as Governor Janet Mills, former state Senate President Troy Jackson, former Maine CDC Director Nirav Shah, former U.S. House candidate Jordan Wood, and Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows.

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