If this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ3kṀ7k

Dec 31

65%

Troy Jackson

63%

Nirav Shah

61%

Shenna Bellows

52%

Dan Kleban

45%

Valli Geiger

44%

Paige Loud

31%

Jordan Wood

21%

Janet Mills

14%

Graham Platner

Resolves YES if a candidate is the nominee and wins the Senate election, NO if they lose the Senate election, and N/A otherwise.

Market context

US Politics

Elections

2026 US Congressional Elections

Democratic Party

Maine

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Which Party will win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?

If this person is the Democratic Nominee for Michigan Senate, will they win?

Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?

33% chance

If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win?

Will the Democrat on the ballot for Senate in ME and Republican on the ballot for Senate in SC be 2026 Gov candidates?

Will a Republican win the ME-02 district in 2026?

63% chance

Who will win Maine’s US Senate election in 2026?(n/a if not platner, mills or Collins)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?

91% chance

Which Party will in the 2026 Maine Gubernatorial election?

Will the democratic senate nominee in maine be a man?

98% chance

Sort by:

Susan Collins voted 96% with trump.

Maine voted for Kamala by 7%. Just repeat Susan Collins 96% with trump over and over. Trump endorsed her. Vance endorsed her. Repeat it and dems will win

bought Ṁ10 NO

/Jack1/who-will-be-the-democratic-candidat-PyPynyctU2

@nikki @ManifoldPolitics please add subsidy

@Tetraspace Can you NA Janet Mills? Thanks!

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 30% order

@NathanScott premature 😆

@bens Yeah my comment didn't age well lol

Mr. Platner alienated Democrats- in a primary race. As an independent, in Maine, with strong tradition of election successful for Indies? Sure. However, he is running a general campaign, in a primary: "seeking to topple the Democrat establishment". "Topple" in the primary. No