Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat in 2022?
349
Ṁ91KṀ2.3K
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolves to YES in the event that a nuclear weapon is confirmed to be launched for combat, non-testing purposes before Jan 1, 2023, anywhere in the world.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Jackbought Ṁ50 of NO
Similar question:
I think mine is clearer because of "detonated" vs "launched" (see discussion in https://manifold.markets/AndyMartin/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-launched-i-015e44ed91f5#jGdoWZDGD4845392vgWl, not all nuclear weapons are launched)



Nathan Youngpredicted NO
@littlebubulle My read that this was a joke that if you win, we'll all lose.
Andy Martinbought Ṁ17 of YES
related market with a EOY 2023 end date: https://manifold.markets/AndyMartin/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-launched-i-015e44ed91f5
Endoviorbought Ṁ100 of YES

Andrew Hartmanpredicted NO
Endoviorpredicted YES

Andrew Hartmanpredicted NO


Sinclair Chenbought Ṁ20 of NO

Peter Berggrenbought Ṁ50 of NO
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