Will Russia attack another country by July 1st 2022?
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Ṁ4.2kresolved Jul 21
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Resolved according to my judgement. Attack means a physical attack involving weapons. Has to be a country Russia is currently not engaged in hostilities in (so continued fighting in Ukraine or CAR don't count). Am open to help operationalizing.
Feb 24, 11:08am: If it were obvious to me that Russia had paid mercenaries to attack another country, and Russia were in control of those mercenaries, I would count that.
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