Will Manifold solve Ben's puzzle?
14
1kṀ1319
Dec 31
47%
chance
3

Resolves the same as this one:

/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle

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I see this market is quickly trending lower than the other one. I will buy 1000 mana of Yes shares (5000 shares) at 20%, reply to this message if you are interested in being the other 4000 mana for the No shares. I'm not going to leave a standing order on the books.

Alright now that we have an uncluttered comment section which is not flooded with 100s of guesses, we can finally collaborate in semi-privacy!

@Eliza lmao I'm not buying this for a second

@AndrewHebb you can bet to your true probability here.

@Eliza why is this not just a direct arb with the other market?

@bens Hush, we don't need to say those things out loud.

@bens did anyone do this already?

@Eliza I’m confused, if someone had already done this the other market would have resolved YES

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