During which 5 year period will the world get fusion?
23
1kṀ6352055
0.6%
6%
Never
0%
2021-2025
7%
2026-2030
12%
2031-2035
16%
2036-2040
39%
2041-2045
13%
2046-2050
6%
2051-2055
0%
2050-2075
Using https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-future-of-fusion as a guide, where he suggests:
"By ‘get fusion’, I mean Q > 5 for a steady state experiment. If it is not steady state (e.g. inertial confinement fusion), then I also require a shot frequency of at least 1/second. Anyone selling fusion power to the grid also counts, even if they don't meet these technical requirements."
Market will resolve to 'never' if we reach 2055 without fusion meeting the above requirements.
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