Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2028, a large language model (LLM) achieves a ranking of Diamond or higher in StarCraft II. The LLM must:

• Compete in standard 1v1 matches against human opponents.

• Attain a matchmaking rating (MMR) corresponding to the Diamond league or higher or otherwise demonstrate clear ability to beat Diamond league human players 50% of the time.

If these conditions are not met by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

• Update 2025-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Decision-Making Requirement:

  • The LLM must make decisions on all actions and cannot outsource decision-making to external or specialized tools built for gaming.

  • While the LLM may use tools to control units, it must generate its own decisions and cannot simply rely on the tool's outputs.