Will a Language Model under 10B parameters play chess at Grandmaster level by 2050?
11
174
Ṁ398Ṁ230
2050
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Strength can be assessed through either human play or through playing with machines. GM level means >2500, or whatever the rating cutoff is for the GM title at resolution
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Related questions
Will a superconductor beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2025?
11% chance
Will it cost less than 100k USD to train and run a language model that outperforms GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks by the end 2024?
85% chance
Will AI be able to generate correct images of a chess game in 2024?
42% chance
Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?
41% chance
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
47% chance
Will end-to-end neural networks such as LLMs can beat the best human player in chess by 2028?
61% chance
Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040?
21% chance
Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?
27% chance
By 2025 will there be a competitive large language model with >50% of the total training data generated from a large language model?
75% chance