
Will a Language Model under 10B parameters play chess at Grandmaster level by 2050?
17
1kṀ21992050
88%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Strength can be assessed through either human play or through playing with machines. GM level means >2500, or whatever the rating cutoff is for the GM title at resolution
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
52% chance
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
51% chance
Which of these language models will I beat at chess?
Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?
38% chance
Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
52% chance
Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess?
When will a Large Language Model beat me at chess?
Will an AI image generation model successfully generate a proper chess board by July 31, 2025
24% chance
Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?
43% chance
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
72% chance
Sort by:
@ashly_webb >doesn’t have a architecture for playing chess
So, like AlphaZero (with a chatbot added)??
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
52% chance
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
51% chance
Which of these language models will I beat at chess?
Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?
38% chance
Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
52% chance
Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess?
When will a Large Language Model beat me at chess?
Will an AI image generation model successfully generate a proper chess board by July 31, 2025
24% chance
Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?
43% chance
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
72% chance