65% chance. Will a video game be released in which multiple NPCs' dialogue is based on live inference from an LLM, before 2026? The player must have considerable freedom for consideration with the NPCs: picking from options is NOT sufficient. Input should be free text or following a flexible framework which allows fairly arbitrary conversation within the context. (I could imagine building sentences by picking words which are aligned with the universe etc to avoid bad publicity when someone asks something inappropriate.) The LLM must have been originally trained with a parameter count of 7B+, just to establish a lower bound. The implemented parameter count after pruning etc may be lower, for cheaper inference. The inference may be performed in the cloud (assuming subscription based), or locally, perhaps on GPU or AI accelerator (e.g. Ryzen 7840). As for the game itself, it must achieve an average score of 80+ on metacritic with at least 60 reviews. This means there's a lower bound for quality and visibility. Date based on game's release date (not really access). This might mean the market closes shortly after the end of 2025 as reviews come in, for example.