Will the linked "Rationalussy tweet market" be marked nonpredictive?
15
Ṁ290Ṁ2.3kresolved Sep 1
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Will the following market be marked non-predictive so its outcome does not count towards leagues?
Resolves YES if the market is marked "non-predictive" regardless if it actually effects the league standings
Resolves NO otherwise.
If there isn't an explicit statement by mods and its still not marked "non-predictive" then I'll resolve NO at the close date
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@DavidChee I think the linked market should be marked non-predictive. It is a self-referential market because while it is based around “predicting” an event; that event is the actions of a market participant whose only motivation is to make profit in the market.
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