@inerati has been on a roll with market manipulation, so I'm giving out the opportunity for more manipulation.
Resolves YES if the word "rationalussy" appears in a tweet on the Twitter account https://twitter.com/inerati (replies don't count) that stays up for at least 24 hours, with the creation of the tweet being before leagues close.
See this comment for rules lawyer-y clarification of criteria: https://manifold.markets/DanMan314/will-inerati-tweet-the-word-rationa#3ffHZpFxct2ajGaGw6ui
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@DavidChee We've had some discussion already about what should be "non-predictive" and changing the name of the tag as it is a bit of a misnomer right now.
@inerati tweet it now and this becomes a league lock dice roll misread the criteria. sounds like you only need to fire it off before leagues end, not have the 24h pass by then
Wow you guys are way too confident in NO right now. the video below was just leaked to a children’s educational morning show in Belarus and it is the SECOND replication video we have seen in 1 week, and you clowns want to buy this down to 9%? I’ve done extensive video analysis and in the third frame you can unmistakably make out the full text of the word. And before you say anything, it has been confirmed through extensive lab-grade textual analysis with 100% certainty by people with literal PhDs in the alphabet that each letter in the word correctly matches the word in the title. Yes, I am down +4000 on this market right now, but I legitimately don’t care. If you think I’m going to let you all bully me out a very real claim of the tweet’s legitimacy then not only do you fail to appreciate the scientific method but you fail to realize that some people are patient enough to wait for science to take its course. I have a feeling who will be laughing when this is all over. In the meantime, like I said, thanks for the cheap YES.
@inerati remember it's ok to tweet before the League deadline, and then have it up for 24h. Doesn't have to be tweeted 24h earlier.
@DanMan314 Dang, I knew something had to be up. So, I assume this means you will only accept the exact string "rationalussy" (possibly with some letters switched to uppercase) and not misspellings?
@JosephNoonan yup, because she swapped the L for an uppercase i in the word. Ctrl-f "Rationalussy" vs "Rationaiussy" to see for yourself.
(edited to make clear exactly why this tweet doesn't count)
@Jarizu Why? Clearly the word rationaiussy is different, and doesn't fulfill the market criteria. I think any suspicion I'm rigging this in my favor should be erased by my current profit of negative Ṁ3700.
@DanMan314 The word was tweeted. Based on reading the question itself, or the description (but not the linked comment) most would conclude that her current tweet would satisfy the conditions of “YES”
@DanMan314 It’s not reasonable to expect every bettor to realize that you meant the string “rationalussy” and only that string with no other characters, and based on conversation in this thread it’s clear many didn’t pick up on that
@Jarizu I'm sorry you were confused but I don't think it's unclear. The word was not tweeted. There's nothing in my comment except clarifications of existing criteria: a top-level tweet that contains the word that stays up for more than 24 hours.
Other characters could exist as long as the word "rationalussy" was in the tweet. It wasn't, so it doesn't count.
Side note - wow this website is weird I can't believe I'm sincerely debating whether or not someone tweeted the rationalussy.
@DanMan314 ahh I misunderstood, she was fucking with us. Yeah you’re fine sorry for the confusion, rip my 85 mana lmao