How should we decide which markets are non-predictive?
25
resolved Sep 9
Non-predictive means basically the same thing as self-resolving (markets that are about themselves).
Any market where the market's existence could affect the outcome is non-predictive.
Non-predictive markets include self-resolving markets, as well as subjective ones, like, "What will my opinion on X be?"
Non-predictive markets also include markets that involve some info that only the creator knows.
Non-predictive markets are any markets deemed "silly".
Non-predictive markets should be decided on a case-by-case basis, with no explicit criteria for what makes a market non-predictive.
Coin flip
Which of these do you think is the best way to choose which markets should be marked non-predictive? Non-predictive markets don't count in Leagues, and they don't give out unique trader bonuses. I think they might be demoted in the feed as well, but I'm not sure.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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