Does this include the markets that resolve N/A, or only the ones that resolve NO?

@IsaacKing My assumption was that it would primarily just include markets that were open, but I think if it was a good market with a qualifying question that spent enough time high enough, and was just marked N/A because the poster got bored (or similar), then those would count. However, a market resolving to 0% or 100% has no bearing on this market; this is a question about their active probabilities while bettors are betting.

To be clear, this market closes and resolves at the end of 2027; it may be that all of the long-term markets resolve YES (or N/A), but after that time.

@Duncn I'm not asking about their resolution status, I'm asking about their resolution criteria. The incentives in this market are very different from those in this market.

@IsaacKing Ah, I see! Yes, markets such as that in your second link do qualify.

Can we clarify if this includes fake markets like the ones about skate boarding?

@DavidBolin Search isn't showing me that market. But I will exclude anything too ridiculous. If you remember the exact question, I can give you a more exact answer.

@Duncn Will AI wipe out humans by 2025? (read desc.) | Manifold

@DavidBolin Oh. That would not count; I will be looking specifically at markets that use AI to mean artificial intelligence, humanity to mean all humans, and 'wipe out' to mean kill.

I added your market to my AI Doom group that tracks these and derivative markets. May be cleaner than relying on the search bar.

so by under 100 years you mean so long as the market's deadline is earlier than 2123?

@Tripping Yes, except rolling; so if there is a 2124 deadline, that counts starting next year.