Before the end of 2027, will at least three "Will AI wipe out humanity" markets (as appearing in the Manifold Market search for that phrase) be above 50%, at the same time, for at least a week?

This does not include derivative markets such as "Will the "Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?" market reach 20% in 2023?"

• Update 2025-17-01 (PST): - Conditional markets (e.g., "if there is a war between AI and humans with at least x billion human deaths, will AI wipe out humanity") do not count towards the resolution criteria. (AI summary of creator comment)

*Please note that the "AI summary of creator comment" is the exact opposite of my comment. The resolution criteria may soon be edited, but not like that. Currently the most likely edit is something like "markets conditional on the occurrence of X-risks do not count towards the resolution of this market", but that is both confusing an incomplete.

In the meantime, just assume that hacking this market won't work, and don't do it.