Will covid-19 pandemic end in 2023? | Manifold Markets

Will covid-19 pandemic end in 2023?

Dec 31

8

45%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves yes even if covid-19 exists, just not with an official pandemic status

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As of March 15, 2023, the current 7-day average of weekly new cases (21,422) decreased 19.7% compared with the previous 7-day average (26,685). A total of 103,801,821 COVID-19 cases have been reported in the United States as of March 15, 2023

firstuserhereis predicting YES at 51%

It's only a matter of time before we dip below the threshold for calling it a pandemic, and I'm pretty confident the WHO will declare it so not long after: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer

Dreamingpastbought Ṁ9 of YES

It is at an inflection point

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00294-9

Al Quinn bought Ṁ20 YES from 37% to 45%

Adrian sold Ṁ33 NO from 30% to 37%

Dreamingpast sold Ṁ61 YES from 50% to 30%

Dreamingpast sold Ṁ9 YES from 54% to 50%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ61 YES from 69% to 54%

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ100 YES from 41% to 69%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 NO at 59%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 21%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 YES at 41% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast sold Ṁ159 YES from 78% to 30%

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ75 YES from 62% to 78%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 NO at 62% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ100 YES from 34% to 70%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 YES at 34% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast sold Ṁ145 YES from 60% to 30%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 YES at 60% (cancelled)

firstuserhere sold Ṁ31 YES from 68% to 59%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 68% (cancelled)

firstuserhere sold Ṁ35 YES from 74% to 66%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 74% (cancelled)

firstuserhere bought Ṁ100 YES from 51% to 77%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 51% (cancelled)

firstuserhere sold Ṁ57 YES from 67% to 48%

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ60 YES from 47% to 67%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ130 YES from 80% to 47%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 NO at 80% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ100 YES from 64% to 82%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 NO at 64% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ100 YES from 58% to 65%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 NO at 58% (cancelled)

firstuserhere bought Ṁ200 YES at 60%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ50 YES from 51% to 60%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 NO at 51% (cancelled)

firstuserhere bought Ṁ10 YES from 48% to 52%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 48% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast sold Ṁ13 YES from 52% to 47%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 52% (cancelled)

firstuserhere bought Ṁ50 YES from 33% to 54%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 33% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ9 YES from 30% to 34%

Adrian bought Ṁ100 NO from 46% to 30%

Jf P bought Ṁ5 YES from 43% to 46%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ8 YES from 48% to 43%

L filled limit order Ṁ107/Ṁ150 YES at 30%

L filled limit order Ṁ200/Ṁ200 NO at 60%

L bought Ṁ10 NO from 59% to 48%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 59%

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Will I get COVID in 2023?35%

Will I get covid by mid-2023?10%

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?26%

2023: Will the WHO declare that the world reached the Sars-CoV-2 post-pandemic period?33%

Will I catch Covid (again) in 2023?28%

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