Will SARS-CoV-2 be eradicated by 2031?
15
1kṀ5602031
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the following resolution criteria:
"Natural" extinction of SARS-CoV-2 (without human agency) would resolve the market to YES.
If a successor variant completely displaces the original strain, the market will resolve to NO.
An exception may be made to resolve YES in a scenario where a chimera virus involving SARS-CoV-2 exists, but the original strain is gone.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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