Will an intelligence report on the Chinese Spy Balloon be leaked in 2024?
Basic
9
แน103Dec 31
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if a report by a US intelligence service on the balloon incident gets leaked before EOY.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Was the Chinese balloon actually a spy balloon?
80% chance
Will a second Chinese military plane breach Japanese airspace during 2024?
48% chance
Will Donald Trump reveal national secrets at any point before Dec 31 2024?
27% chance
Will another illegal Chinese funded biological lab be discovered in the US in 2024?
46% chance
Will any other US intelligence agency change their assessment of Covid origins towards a lab origin by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will it be revealed that China has a secret human genetic engineering program that dates back to 2023 before 2033?
40% chance
Will we find out in 2024 about breakthrough Chinese AI progress? (subjective resolution)
20% chance
By 2025 will I firmly believe that one of the 2023 balloon shootdowns was staged by the Biden administration for PR purposes?
21% chance
Will Wikileaks post another official leak before the end of 2025?
43% chance
Did the "Chinese spy chip" reported by Bloomberg ever exist?
27% chance