What Event Will Happen First: Trump Elected, Harris Elected, "January 6th" Type Event (Both Biases Separate)
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Jan 20
thank you! added 1k, and sorry really not trying to spam I think it can be useful, also commented your market on mine first :)
'Stop the steal' has gained steam -CNN [image]
Protests In Chicago Near Democratic Convention - LIVE Breaking News Coverage DNC (https://www.youtube.com/embed/-8xFxvRav4Y)
Harris concedes to Trump
95%
Trump Elected & Inaugurated
5%
Harris Elected & Inaugurated
0%
"January 6th" Type Event (Trump / Republican Bias)
0%
"January 6th" Type Event (Harris / Democrat Bias)
What Event Will Happen First: 
1. Trump Elected & Inaugurated 
2. Harris Elected & Inaugurated 
3. "January 6th" Type Event (Harris / Democrat Bias)
5. "January 6th" Type Event (Trump Bias / Republican Bias)
Each Question Resolves Either YES or NO 
Resolves YES To The Event That Occurs First
  Others Will Resolve No If They Are Not The First Event That Occurs
  • "January 6th" Type Event (For Either To Resolve Yes Or No).

    • For this, it must be meet these 3 conditions

      • Caused by

        • False claims of 2024 presidential election fraud by Donald Trump and his Allies/Republicans. or Harris and her Allies/Democrats.

        • Denial of the 2024 U.S. presidential election results

        • Disrupt and delay the Electoral College vote count

  • To Meet Elected:

    • Harris must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.

    • Trump must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.

    MARKET EXTENDS UNTIL CONDITIONS MET

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reposted

I'm selling Ṁ31k Trump shares at 98% edit: 95% -- limit order is up.

reposted
Video gif. At a presidential debate, Donald Trump stands behind a podium, narrows his eyes and takes a sip of water from a clear glass.

reposted

Protests In Chicago Near Democratic Convention - LIVE Breaking News Coverage DNC

Would the aftermath of the 2016 election have counted as a "January 6" type event? (Widespread denial of the elections' validity by the public and major politicians, mass protests/riots aiming to stop the elected from taking office, efforts to stop the electoral college vote, etc.)

Currents odds imply Dems have a 67% chance of winning the election. Easy arbitrage with larger election markets

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similar market to hedge bets or gain insight for this one (unlinked options):

If you are going to "spam" a "hedge market" you could be kind and add to this markets liquidity🤪🤪🤪🤪
(It is actually a very good market you have there though!)
I Pinned it!

thank you! added 1k, and sorry really not trying to spam I think it can be useful, also commented your market on mine first :)

I'll do my best to get this upgraded Asap.

I currently only use trading profits to upgrade, but it motivates me to trade more :-)

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